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The Polling Timeline

| Polling | June 5, 2013

Alex Evans is President and founding partner of EMC Research. He has extensive experience in the design and execution of stratified proportional sampling plans, questionnaire development, all forms of opinion research, focus groups, voter polls, strategic design and development and public policy analysis. Alex has conducted over two thousand public opinion studies. He has polled in every state and throughout the western United States.

Polling

 

The Polling Timeline

Determining what kind of poll to do depends heavily on the polling timeline.  If your campaign has the budget for it, ideally, you could conduct two surveys through the campaign. 

The first poll would be the baseline survey.  This poll would help take a snapshot of the race relatively early and set the stage to determine overall strategy.  The baseline poll is comprehensive, usually around 18-20 minutes, and tests:

  • Direction of the state / local area
  • Overall concern on issues like the budget/economy, education, immigration, economy, etc.
  • Favorability / name identification ratings for all candidates
  • Job rating, if there is an incumbent
  • Vote as it stands today
  • Short bios for each candidate
  • Re-vote/re-favorable rating
  • Positive information on candidate
  • Possible vulnerabilities/negative information on candidate
  • Demographics (party, age, race, homeowner, geography, etc).

About 4-6 weeks before Election Day, it is good to do a “check in”, to make sure that the campaign strategy is working, messages are penetrating, and determine if any changes are necessary down the home stretch.  This can be done with a short tracking poll that is about 8 minutes long.  A tracking poll tests:

  • Favorability / name identification for top tier candidates
  • Vote
  • Awareness of ads (TV, mail, etc).
  • Any short messages or timely topics the campaign needs quick read on
  • Demographics

Polling Timeline

 

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